Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.176838 0.187879 0.199404 0.212361 0.226554 0.241668 0.259027
2025-04-27 0.157212 0.174356 0.193400 0.216280 0.243233 0.274238 0.312991
2025-05-04 0.142194 0.162726 0.186614 0.216820 0.254527 0.300782 0.363013
2025-05-11 0.130247 0.152649 0.179655 0.215212 0.261745 0.321999 0.408466
2025-05-18 0.120667 0.144141 0.173264 0.212910 0.266905 0.340191 0.451651
2025-05-25 0.111866 0.135666 0.165882 0.208150 0.267662 0.351741 0.486323
2025-06-01 0.105242 0.129366 0.160632 0.205467 0.270569 0.366108 0.526843
2025-06-08 0.099798 0.124158 0.156321 0.203497 0.273976 0.381184 0.570483
2025-06-15 0.096643 0.121735 0.155509 0.206237 0.284368 0.407962 0.638366
2025-06-22 0.091549 0.116334 0.150154 0.201825 0.283194 0.415709 0.673181
2025-06-29 0.086187 0.110268 0.143482 0.194911 0.277345 0.414781 0.691079
2025-07-06 0.081615 0.105085 0.137779 0.189051 0.272625 0.415150 0.711441
2025-07-13 0.079350 0.103131 0.136754 0.190490 0.280338 0.438983 0.786634
2025-07-20 0.077656 0.101926 0.136780 0.193616 0.291298 0.470504 0.887441
2025-07-27 0.075366 0.099735 0.135191 0.194007 0.297508 0.493868 0.976126
2025-08-03 0.072807 0.097020 0.132645 0.192614 0.300332 0.510845 1.053940
2025-08-10 0.070300 0.094265 0.129882 0.190642 0.301857 0.525296 1.129543
2025-08-17 0.067480 0.090924 0.126039 0.186572 0.299036 0.530046 1.179382
2025-08-24 0.065250 0.088384 0.123333 0.184276 0.299390 0.541804 1.254139
2025-08-31 0.063299 0.086191 0.121068 0.182588 0.300748 0.555985 1.341709
2025-09-07 0.062334 0.085464 0.121102 0.184934 0.310318 0.590760 1.512642
2025-09-14 0.060162 0.082785 0.117846 0.181156 0.307013 0.593867 1.571899
2025-09-21 0.057668 0.079527 0.113526 0.175224 0.298784 0.583711 1.577786